Adesanya vs Imavov: Expert Predictions and Betting Picks for UFC Fight Night
This Saturday, UFC fans are in for a treat as Adesanya vs Imavov takes center stage, with Israel Adesanya making his return to the Octagon to face rising contender Nassourdine Imavov in the main event of UFC Fight Night. For Adesanya, this isn’t just another fight—it’s a chance to prove he’s still one of the best. After back-to-back losses, the former two-time middleweight champion is looking to get back in the win column and remind everyone why he once ruled the division. On the other side, Adesanya vs. Imavov presents a massive opportunity for Imavov, who is on a roll—riding a three-fight win streak—and eager to make a statement against one of the division’s biggest names.
The action kicks off early, with prelims starting at 9 a.m. ET on ESPN+, and the main card at noon ET.
We’ve got insights from former UFC fighter Megan Anderson on how both fighters can win, plus betting expert Ian Parker breaking down the odds and best bets for the card.
Adesanya vs. Imavov: Who Has the Edge?
How Adesanya Wins
Let’s be real—Adesanya is one of the most technical strikers in the game. His movement, accuracy, and ability to control distance are what make him dangerous. He’s got a five-inch reach advantage, and if he uses it well, he can keep Imavov on the outside and pick him apart with jabs, kicks, and counters.
In his last fight against Dricus du Plessis, Adesanya didn’t look bad—he was just up against a tough, relentless opponent. This time, against a less experienced fighter, he has a much more favorable matchup. The key for him is to stay composed, control the pace, and avoid getting backed up against the cage.
And if he really wants to make a statement? Step on the gas and push forward more aggressively. He’s got the skills—now he just needs to show he’s still got that killer instinct.
How Imavov Wins
For Imavov, this fight is all about taking away Adesanya’s movement. Izzy thrives when he can float around the cage and set traps—so Imavov needs to shut that down fast.
The blueprint is there. Fighters like Alex Pereira and Dricus du Plessis had success against Adesanya by chopping at his legs early. If Imavov starts landing heavy leg kicks in the first two rounds, it’ll slow Izzy down and open up chances to land power shots later in the fight.
Another big factor? Cage control.
Adesanya isn’t used to guys pushing him against the fence, and that’s where Imavov can make things ugly. If he closes the distance, forces clinches, and lands dirty boxing shots, he can take Adesanya out of his comfort zone.
If this turns into a technical kickboxing fight, Imavov loses. But if he can make it gritty and unpredictable, he’s got a real shot at pulling off the upset.
X-Factor: Who Controls the Cage?
Both of these guys are strikers, but who controls the Octagon?
Neither fighter is a dominant wrestler, but whoever can push the pace and dictate where the fight happens will have the advantage.
If Adesanya keeps it at range, he wins.
If Imavov closes the distance and makes it ugly, it’s anyone’s fight.
Fight Prediction: Who Walks Away Victorious?
This is a must-win fight for Adesanya. If he loses three in a row, his days as a title contender could be over. Imavov is dangerous, but inexperienced at this level, and that’s what makes the difference.
Expect Adesanya to fight smart, use his range, and get the win—either by decision or a late stoppage.
Official Prediction: Israel Adesanya wins.
Best Bets for UFC Fight Night
Adesanya vs. Imavov – Smart Money Pick
- Bet: Adesanya to win (-160)
- Not a bad price for a former champ.
- He has the experience, the striking edge, and a five-round gas tank.
Source: UFC Fight Night: Expert picks and best bets for Adesanya vs. Imavov
Other Fights to Watch & Best Bets
Shara Magomedov vs. Michael “Venom” Page (MVP)
- Pick: Page to win (+155)
- MVP is an elite striker, but don’t sleep on his new grappling skills.
- If he mixes things up and doesn’t just strike, he can win this fight.
Said Nurmagomedov vs. Vinicius Oliveira
- Pick: Nurmagomedov to win (-170)
- Oliveira is exciting but too wild for someone as technical as Nurmagomedov.
- The difference here is fight IQ—Nurmagomedov keeps his cool and gets the W.
Farés Ziam vs. Mike Davis
- Pick: Davis to win (-140)
- Davis is a sharp striker with serious power.
- If he keeps it standing, Ziam won’t have many answers.
- Great value bet for a slight favorite.

Final Thoughts: What to Expect on Fight Night
Saturday’s card is stacked with exciting matchups, but all eyes will be on Adesanya.
- Will he prove he’s still elite?
- Or is Imavov about to shock the world?
For betting fans, there’s great value on Adesanya, Page, and Davis.
For fight fans, get ready for a high-level striking showdown in the main event.
Don’t miss it—prelims start at 9 a.m. ET, main card at noon ET on ESPN+!
TL;DR (Too Long; Didn’t Read)
- Adesanya NEEDS this win.
- Imavov’s best shot? Leg kicks and pressure.
- Prediction: Adesanya wins.
- Best bets: Adesanya (-160), Page (+155), Davis (-140).
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