\uac00\uc0c1\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc2dc\uc138 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4 \uc81c\ub3c4\uad8c \uae08\uc735\uc758 \uae4a\uc219\ud55c \uacf3\uc73c\ub85c \uc2a4\uba70\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ud1b5 \uae08\uc735\uc758 \uc0c1\uc9d5\uacfc\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \ub300\ud615 \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc9c4\uc9c0\ud558\uac8c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uae30\ub300\uac10\ub3c4 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 JP\ubaa8\uac74\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735 \uac70\ubb3c\uc774 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5(Prediction Markets) \uc9c4\ucd9c\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \uc5c5\uacc4\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ub9ad \uc6cc\uc2a4\ud130(Rick Wurster)\ub97c \ube44\ub86f\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 \uae08\uc735\uad8c \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774 \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub300\ud615 \uc790\ubcf8\uc774 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0\ub97c \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \ud22c\uae30 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uae08\uc735 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc124\uacc4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud575\uc2ec \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uac70\ub4ed\ud568\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uae30\uad00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc774\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd \uc0c1\ud488\uc774\ub098 \ud558\ubd80 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc120\uc810\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc870\uc6a9\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc774 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc740 \ube14\ub85d\uccb4\uc778 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uac80\uc99d \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774 \uac00\uc9c4 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc815\uce58, \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uac00\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8 \ucee8\ud2b8\ub799\ud2b8 \uae30\uc220\uc740 \uc870\uc791 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4\ub97c \ub192\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9ad \uc6cc\uc2a4\ud130\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\uc810 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud22c\uba85\ud55c \uc6d0\uc7a5 \uae30\uc220\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uae08\uc735 \ud6a8\uc728\ud654\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ubc0f \uc54c\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ub3d9\ubc18 \ud3ed\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\uc694 \uac00\uaca9 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 \ud655\uc778 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc, \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc815\uad50\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ubaa9\uc18c\ub9ac\uac00 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc81c\uae30\ub418\uc5b4 \uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub3c4\uad8c \uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c4\ucd9c \uac80\ud1a0\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc548\uc804\ud55c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \ub0b4\ubd80\ub85c \ud3ec\uc12d\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc120\ud0dd\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae08\uc735\uad8c\uc758 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud589\ubcf4\ub294 \uaddc\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ubaa9\uc801\ub3c4 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6b4\uc601 \uccb4\uacc4\uc758 \ubd88\ud22c\uba85\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc678\uba74\ubc1b\uc558\ub358 \uc601\uc5ed\uc774, \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \ub300\ud615 \uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uc640 \uacb0\ud569\ud558\uba70 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \uc0c1\ud488\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ubaa8\ud560 \uc900\ube44\ub97c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \ub3c4\ubc15\uc131 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uace0\ub3c4\ud654\ub41c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd84\uc11d\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\ud569\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae08\uc735 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ub4f1\uc7a5\uc744 \uc608\uace0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c8 \ub54c\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uac1c\uc778 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubd88\uc548\ud574\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae30\uad00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc774\ub97c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc801\uc778 \uc9c4\uc785 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc0bc\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\ub41c \ubc14\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc744 \ub300\ub7c9\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \uc18c\uc704 ‘\uace0\ub798’ \uacc4\uc88c\uc640 \uae30\uad00\ub4e4\uc758 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud65c\ubc1c\ud574\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \ud544\uc218 \uad6c\uc131 \uc694\uc18c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uc544\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubc29\uc99d\uc774\uae30\ub3c4 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc81c\ub3c4\uad8c \uc9c4\uc785\uc774 \ub298 \uc21c\ud0c4\ud55c \uac83\ub9cc\uc740 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uaddc\uc81c \ubc95\uc548 \uc785\ubc95 \uc2e4\ud328 \uc784\ubc15 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub418\ub294 \ub4f1, \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ubc95\uc801 \uac00\uc774\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc774 \ubd80\uc7ac\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ub300\ud615 \uc790\ubcf8\uc758 \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc778 \ud655\uc7a5\uc744 \uac00\ub85c\ub9c9\ub294 \uac78\ub9bc\ub3cc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 JP\ubaa8\uac74\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ub9ac\ub529 \ubc45\ud06c\uac00 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc5f0\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740, \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uaddc\uc81c \ud658\uacbd \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc8fc\ub3c4\uad8c\uc744 \ub193\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc758\uc9c0\ub85c \uc77d\ud799\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud55c\uce35 \ub354 \ubc1c\uc804\ud558\uac8c \ub418\uba74 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ub354\uc6b1 \ud48d\ubd80\ud574\uc9c8 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub9cc\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 ‘\ud640\ub529’ \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098, \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uac01\ub3c4\ub85c \ucc38\uc5ec\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0dd\ud0dc\uacc4 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ucd95 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c\uc758 \uae30\ub2a5\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub9ad \uc6cc\uc2a4\ud130\uc640 JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc774 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud589\ubcf4\ub294 \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc758 \ub2e4\ub978 \uae08\uc735\uae30\uad00\ub4e4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud30c\uae09\ub825\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud604\ubb3c ETF \ucd9c\uc2dc \uc774\ud6c4, \ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4 \ub354 \ub098\uc544\uac04 \ubcf5\ud569 \ud30c\uc0dd \uc0c1\ud488\uacfc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \uacb0\ud569\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae30\uc220\uacfc \uae08\uc735 \uc815\ubcf4\uac00 \ub9cc\ub098\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec\uc801\uc778 \uad50\ucc28\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uacfc\uac70 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud601\uc2e0\uacfc \uc2a4\ud3ec\uce20 \uac8c\uc784 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubcc0\uace1\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\ud5d8\ud588\ub4ef\uc774, \uc774\uc885 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uac04\uc758 \uc735\ud569\uc740 \ub298 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud574 \uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ub300\ud615 \uae08\uc735\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uac80\ud1a0\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0, \ud604\uc2e4 \uc138\uacc4\uc758 \ubc29\ub300\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc628\uccb4\uc778\ud654\ud558\uc5ec \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub300\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uacb0\uad6d \uad00\uac74\uc740 \ubcf4\uc548\uacfc \uaddc\uc81c\uc758 \uc801\uc808\ud55c \uc870\ud654\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub3c4\uad8c \uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uae30\uc874 \ud0c8\uc911\uc559\ud654 \ud50c\ub7ab\ud3fc\uc758 \ud55c\uacc4\ub85c \uc9c0\uc801\ub418\uc5c8\ub358 \ubcf4\uc548 \uc0ac\uace0\ub098 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc131 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub290\ub0d0\uac00 \uad00\uac74\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\uc73c\ub85c \ud615\uc131\ub41c \uc774 \uac70\ub300\ud55c \uae08\uc735 \uc2e4\ud5d8\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubb34\ub300 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uadf8 \uc2e4\ud6a8\uc131\uc744 \uc99d\uba85\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uc9c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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